The question in the picture below..?

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1 Answer
Nov 19, 2017

(i) "P"(C>=200)=0.8849P(C200)=0.8849
(ii) "P"(400 <= D<= 405)=0.3451P(400D405)=0.3451
(iii) a=0.6125a=0.6125

Explanation:

(i) Let CC be the mass of coffee in one random jar. Then C" ~ N"(mu = 203, sigma^2 = 2.5^2).C ~ N(μ=203,σ2=2.52).

"P"(C>=200)="P"((C-mu)/sigma >= (200-mu)/sigma)P(C200)=P(Cμσ200μσ)
color(white)("P"(C>=200))="P"(Z >= (200-203)/2.5)P(C200)=P(Z2002032.5)
color(white)("P"(C>=200))="P"(Z >= –1.2)
color(white)("P"(C>=200))="P"(Z < 1.2)
color(white)("P"(C>=200))=Phi(1.2)
color(white)("P"(C>=200))=0.8849" "=88.49%

(ii) Let C_1 and C_2 be the masses of coffee in two independently chosen random jars, and let D=C_1+C_2. Then
D" ~ N"(mu = 2xx203, sigma^2 = 2xx2.5^2).
color(white)(D)="N"(406, 12.5)

"P"(400 <= D<= 405)
="P((400-406)/sqrt(12.5)<=(D-mu)/sigma <= (405-406)/sqrt(12.5))
~~ "P(–1.70 <= Z <= –0.28)
=Phi(–0.28)-Phi(–1.70)
=0.3897-0.0446
=0.3451" "=34.51%

(iii) barC" ~ N"(mu=203, sigma^2=(2.5^2)/20)="N"(203,0.3125)

"P"(abs(barC - 203)< a)=0.95
=>2{"P"(0 < [barC - 203] < a)}=0.95
=>2{"P"(0 < [barC - 203]/0.3125 < a/0.3125)}=0.95
=>"P"(0 < Z < a/0.3125)=0.475

=>Phi(a/0.3125)-Phi(0)=0.475

=>Phi(a/0.3125)-0.5=0.475

=>Phi(a/0.3125)=0.975

=>a/0.3125 = Phi^(–1)(0.975)

=>a/0.3125=1.96

=>a=0.6125

Note: The value of a is equal to z_0.025xxsigma, where z_(alpha//2) is the z-coordinate of the standard normal curve Z that has an area of alpha//2 to its right. Here, alpha=1-0.95, so alpha//2 = 0.025.

Also, the sigma used here is the standard deviation of barC. You may see a similar term used to help calculate confidence intervals: z_(alpha//2)xxsigma/sqrtn. In this form, sigma is the standard deviation of a single observation, thus sigma/sqrtn is the standard deviation of the mean of n observations.