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1 Answer
Nov 15, 2017

(i) c=1/10," " d=1/6" " (ii) "Var"(X)=16/3

(iii) "P"(X_1+X_2=10)=11/100" " (iv) "E"(Y)=240,

"Var"(Y)=256" " (v) "P"(220 <= Y <= 260)~~0.7888

Explanation:

(i) "P"(X < 6) = "P"(X >= 6)

and by total probability

"P"(X < 6) + "P"(X >= 6)=1

so

"P"(X < 6) = 1/2 = "P"(X >= 6)

Since there are 5 outcomes less than 6, and all 5 outcomes have the same probability, we divide that 1/2 into 5 equal pieces to give to each of the 5 outcomes: c = (1/5)(1/2) = 1/10.

Similarly, the outcomes 6, 7, and 8 are equally likely, and their probabilities sum to (the other) 1/2, so d = (1/3)(1/2)=1/6.

(ii) "E"(X)=sum_(x=1)^8[x * "P"(X=x)]

=sum_(x=1)^5[x * "P"(X=x)]+sum_(x=6)^8[x * "P"(X=x)]
=1/10sum_(x=1)^5x+1/6sum_(x=6)^8x

=15/10+21/6

=(45+105)/30=150/30=5

"Var"(X)="E"(X^2)-{"E"(X)}^2

=sum_(x=1)^8[x^2"P"(X=x)] - 5^2
=1/10sum_(x=1)^5x^2+1/6sum_(x=6)^8x^2-25

=55/10+149/6-25

=(165+745-750)/30=160/30=16/3

(iii) Let X_1 and X_2 be the scores for the first roll and second roll, respectively. Then

"P"(X_1+X_2=10)

=(("P"(X_1=2, X_2=8)),(+"P"(X_1=3, X_2=7)),(+"P"(X_1=4, X_2=6)))+"P"(X_1=5, X_2=5)+(("P"(X_1=6, X_2=4)),(+"P"(X_1=7, X_2=3)),(+"P"(X_1=8, X_2=2)))

SInce all 6 terms in the big brackets have the same probability (due to independence of X_1 and X_2), we have

=6["P"(X_1=2)"P"(X_2=8)] + ["P"(X_1=5)"P"(X_2=5)]

=6[1/10 xx 1/6]+[1/10xx1/10]

=1/10 + 1/100

=(10+1)/100 = 11/100

(iv) Y=sum_(i=1)^48 X_i, where the X_i"'s" are independent. So

"E"(Y)="E"(sum_(i=1)^48 X_i)
color(white)("E"(Y))=sum_(i=1)^48 "E"(X_i)" " (by independence)
color(white)("E"(Y))=sum_(i=1)^48 5

color(white)("E"(Y))=48 xx 5=240

Similarly,

"Var"(Y)="Var"(sum_(i=1)^48 X_i)
color(white)("Var"(Y))=sum_(i=1)^48 "Var"(X_i)" " (by independence)
color(white)("Var"(Y))=sum_(i=1)^48 16/3

color(white)("Var"(Y))=48 xx 16/3=256

(v) Assuming Y is normally distributed, we have

Y " ~ " "N"(mu=240, sigma^2=256)

So

"P"(220 <= Y <= 260)

="P"((220-mu)/sigma <= (Y-mu)/sigma <= (260-mu)/sigma)

Using the standard normal (Z) equivalence, this is

="P"((220-240)/16 <= Z <= (260-240)/16)

="P"("–"1.25 <= Z <= 1.25)

="P"(Z <= 1.25) - "P"(Z < "–"1.25)

=Phi(1.25)-Phi("–"1.25)

These values can be found by lookup in a z-table (or using software). By table lookup:

=0.8944-0.1056" "=0.7888