Using an unfair die, where rolling even is three times higher than of rolling odd, what is the probability of rolling a 5 given we've rolled an odd number?

1 Answer

1/313

Explanation:

We're given an unfair die (I'm assuming it's a loaded 6-sided die) such that the probability of even is three times more than the probability of odd.

What is the probability of rolling a 5 given that we've rolled an odd number.

Conditional probability is found using:

P(B|A)=(P (A nn B))/(P(A))P(BA)=P(AB)P(A)

which says "The probability of event B, given event A, equals the probability of A intersect B divided by the probability of event A".

Event B is rolling a 5 and event A is the rolling of an odd number.

What is P(A)P(A)? It's 3/12=1/4312=14 (the probability of rolling a 1,3,51,3,5 is divided by all the results possible, which is 1,2,2,2,3,4,4,4,5,6,6,61,2,2,2,3,4,4,4,5,6,6,6 - we can list the evens three times to account for the loaded aspect of the die).

What is P(AnnB)P(AB)? It's #1/12 (the probability of rolling a 5 out of the 12 possibilities).

And so we get:

P(B|A)=(1/12)/(1/4)=1/12xx4/1=4/12=1/3P(BA)=11214=112×41=412=13