2 companies, A and B, drill wells in a rural area. Company A charges a flat fee of RM3500 to drill a well regardless of its depth. Company B charges RM1000 plus RM12 per foot to drill a well. ?

The depths of wells in this area have a normal distribution with a mean of 250 feet and a standard deviation of 40 feet.

i) What is the probability that Company B would charge more than Company A to drill a well?
ii) Find the mean amount charged by Company B to drill a well.

1 Answer
Nov 10, 2017

i) "P"(X > 208.33)=0.8508, or 85.08%.
ii) Company B charges an average amount of RM4000.

Explanation:

Part i) First, find out the well depth needed for Company B to charge more than Company A.

This is determined by finding the depth where their costs are equal:

"A's cost " = " B's cost"
"       "3500 = 1000 + 12x" " (where x is number of feet)
"       "2500 = 12x

x=2500/12="RM"208.33

Since the price for Company A remains fixed, then for any depth exceeding 208.33 feet, Company B charges more than Company A.

Then, find the probability that a well depth exceeds this threshold.

What is the probability that a well depth is greater than 208.33 feet?

Let X be the depth of a random well. Then X" ~ Normal"(mu = 250, sigma^2 = 40^2).

We seek "P"(X>208.33). This can be translated into a probability for the standard normal variable Z using the formula z=(x-mu)/sigma.

z=(x-mu)/sigma = (208.33-250)/40=–1.04175

Thus,

"P"(X>208.33)="P"(Z>–1.04175)
color(white)("P"(X>208.33))=1-"P"(Z<=–1.04175)

By table lookup, "P"(Z <= –1.04) = 0.1492, so we get

"P"(X>208.33)=1-0.1492
color(white)("P"(X>208.33))=0.8508.

Part ii) If well depth has an average value of 250 feet, then the mean amount Company B will charge to drill a well is

1000+12x=1000+12(250)
color(white)(1000+12x)=1000+3000
color(white)(1000+12x)="RM"4000.